6.24.2008

Baseball Rankings: 06/24/2008

I've been out of town for the last week, so everything has been quiet around here. I'm back, so get ready.

Disclaimer
Here are the new and updated Baseball Rankings. Instead of just taking the record, pythagorean record, and farm system, I've given each part a weighed score:
- The Record accounts for half of the score. Since the standings are based of record, I thought it deserved more weight than the other parts.
- The Pythagorean Record is based off of Bill James theory that you can somewhat predict a team by runs scored and runs allowed. The Pythagorean Records accounts for a third of the score.
- The Farm System is worth a sixth of the scoring, since it will impact the team, but maybe not now.
- The Standard Deviation is 3 wins.

All stats and records are prior to games on Tuesday. I'm going to start putting each teams score up; max score is 90 points.

Format


Rankings


Breakdown
I'm running out the door so I'll make this brief: More than half the teams in baseball are over performing; 16 of the 30 teams have at least 1 win more than they should. The Angels are leading the way with 7 wins more than they should, followed by the Brewers at 4. Contenders Tampa Bay and St. Louis each have 3 more wins than they should, along with Baltimore and Washington.

The playoff teams based off record:
NL East - Phillies
NL Central - Cubs
NL West - Diamondbacks
NL Wild Card - Cardinals

AL East - Red Sox
AL Central - White Sox
AL West - Angels
AL Wild Card - Rays

The playoff teams based off run differential:
NL East - Phillies
NL Central - Cubs
NL West - Diamondbacks
NL Wild Card - Braves

AL East - Red Sox
AL Central - White Sox
AL West - Athletics
AL Wild Card - Rays

[To figure the pythagorean record, ask me in the comments or use this formula:
(RS^2)/(RS^2 + RA^2)]

I'll be back next Tuesday with the updated rankings. Daily Updates will return tomorrow.

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